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it sounded like sour grapes a few weeks ago and it's sounding like similar sour grapes when the obama campaign doesn't like the numbers, but this ain't the first time we've been at this rodeo. >> no, and if you look at different polls, the waiting as it's called, is different in different snapshots. and what we can say about this, is that it is a snapshot in time. i mean, i look at the numbers where the gender gap is even and i'm scratching my head about that because that number seems very high to me for romney to be tied with president obama on gender because generally, democrats do better with women than republicans. so, you know, you have to look at these numbers. say president obama did not have a good night in that debate. that what everything mitt romney could have wanted to get out of that debate, he got out of this debate and if he has gotten his potential supporters more enthusiastic about going out to the polls and that's what this reflects, that's very good for mitt romney. >> so, cornell, jump in with the difference between likely voters and registered voters, there is a d
it sounded like sour grapes a few weeks ago and it's sounding like similar sour grapes when the obama campaign doesn't like the numbers, but this ain't the first time we've been at this rodeo. >> no, and if you look at different polls, the waiting as it's called, is different in different snapshots. and what we can say about this, is that it is a snapshot in time. i mean, i look at the numbers where the gender gap is even and i'm scratching my head about that because that number seems...
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heually gave mt romney aop to compassia individuals on the campaign trail suffering because of the obama economy as he said that would do better under his tax plans and by not lit galling he will have a less of a chance of making that point because mitt romney seemed pretty compassionate last night. >> okay. so malpractice you see. john avlon had a jaw dropping moment. let's watch the moment and then we'ltalk. >> well, i don't have a $5 trillion tax cut. i don't have a tax cut of the scale you're talking about. my view is that we ought to provide tax relief to people in the middle class but i won't redees the share of taxes paid by high income people. >> jaw dropping because -- >> i mean, just surreal. the size of the etch-a-sketch. the audacity on taxes. which was unbelievable. i mean, almost as if mitt romney's not listening to the campaign rhetoric for five years. the core difnc candidates is about the tax cuts for the upper income bracket and 20% tax cut across the board. mitt romney never specified the deductions that he discusses and doesn't give specifications on, to say i don't h
heually gave mt romney aop to compassia individuals on the campaign trail suffering because of the obama economy as he said that would do better under his tax plans and by not lit galling he will have a less of a chance of making that point because mitt romney seemed pretty compassionate last night. >> okay. so malpractice you see. john avlon had a jaw dropping moment. let's watch the moment and then we'ltalk. >> well, i don't have a $5 trillion tax cut. i don't have a tax cut of...
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the republican party might hate obama enough and be frus stratr enough to let him wink and do more. if so he faces something far more challenging than a good debate never the last weeks of the campaign. he faces a moderate republican. let's get started. -- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.com >>> america's biggest corporations have a unique per expect tifb on the economy. i recently had an opportunity to talk to the heads of three very different, very successful businesses if finance, in manufacturing, and in technology. when i chaired the panel for the clinton global initiative. they are lloyd blankfein the chairman and ce o o of goldman sachs. andrew live russ, the chairman and ceo of dow chemical and john chambers the chair manned and ceo of cisco. the conversation was fascinating. listen in. >>> lloyd, let me start with you. when you look at the global economy, right now, you know, what is it, four years after the crash, what does it look like to you? >> well, we're definitely in a m muddle-through phase, slow growth, very disappointing. but i think one of the things that was achi
the republican party might hate obama enough and be frus stratr enough to let him wink and do more. if so he faces something far more challenging than a good debate never the last weeks of the campaign. he faces a moderate republican. let's get started. -- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.com >>> america's biggest corporations have a unique per expect tifb on the economy. i recently had an opportunity to talk to the heads of three very different, very successful businesses if finance, in...
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that's only, you know, kind of become clear in the last few weeks. >> you've talked about that. obama is actually in the better position to be winning. >> should be winning, counter intuitive when unemployment is stuck over 8%. >> what do you mean? >> we have so few presidential elections in the modern era, once every four years, there's not a lot of data. what you find is like look at 1980 with jimmy carter losing, incumbent president, 1992, george bush losing, after one term. you had basically the economy was going in the wrong -- it was not growing. it has been growing under obama. it's not explosive growth like ronald reagan had in 1984, able to win 49 states, but it's been slowly growing. you have that and you have another thing that political scientists kind of found there seems to be an advantage the less time your party has been in the white house, the more -- so bush sr. in '92 that's 12 years of republican rule. people are itching for change at that point. four years coming in off what obama inherited is a different situation. >> you know, one thing i would say is that
that's only, you know, kind of become clear in the last few weeks. >> you've talked about that. obama is actually in the better position to be winning. >> should be winning, counter intuitive when unemployment is stuck over 8%. >> what do you mean? >> we have so few presidential elections in the modern era, once every four years, there's not a lot of data. what you find is like look at 1980 with jimmy carter losing, incumbent president, 1992, george bush losing, after...
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. >>> less than 24 hours from now, with the election five weeks away, president obama and mitt romney will face off. presidential debates can shift race. joining me now alan schroeder, a professor of the school of journalism in northeast university in boston. author of "presidential debates, 50 years of high-risk tv" and patrick mill sapz who served as chief of staff in newt gingrich's campaign. you say the pie is baloney line is one of his strongest hits during his campaign run against mitt romney. >> can be drop some of the pious baloney? you ran in '94 and lost. that's why you weren't serving in the senate for rick santorum. suddenly citizenship showed up in your mind, level with the american people. you have been running since the 1 990s. >> how much of those zingers are prethought out and what does mitt romney have to do to avoid taking a big hit tomorrow night? >> that was all newt. part of great thing about newt, he knew the topic, knew the weak points, but prepared to answer the question. if you can come up with pious baloney, that puts a cherry on top. if you googled baloney
. >>> less than 24 hours from now, with the election five weeks away, president obama and mitt romney will face off. presidential debates can shift race. joining me now alan schroeder, a professor of the school of journalism in northeast university in boston. author of "presidential debates, 50 years of high-risk tv" and patrick mill sapz who served as chief of staff in newt gingrich's campaign. you say the pie is baloney line is one of his strongest hits during his campaign...
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. >> ari, before last week, president obama was showing strong signs of improvement on the economy, closing the gap in most polls. but i want to show you a number. the pew poll shows that 54% of registered voters agree with the phrase doubt that obama knows how to turn the economy around. what do you make of that? >> that's been consistent, and it's been mitt romney's hope. if this is an election about the state of the economy and whether the president is partially or enough to blame for the bad economy, he's going to lose. that's why you see the president has been launching an attack against bain and other things that he was doing. so that's been the weakness and the numbers, too, that i'm looking for on the inside the polls are mitt romney's attributes and his ratings among independents because forget whether the polls are skewed for ds or rs, as long as mitt romney keeps winning independents, chances are mitt romney's going to win. in this pew poll, he won independents today, having nothing to do with whether it's skewed one party or the other. that's something to keep your eye on. romne
. >> ari, before last week, president obama was showing strong signs of improvement on the economy, closing the gap in most polls. but i want to show you a number. the pew poll shows that 54% of registered voters agree with the phrase doubt that obama knows how to turn the economy around. what do you make of that? >> that's been consistent, and it's been mitt romney's hope. if this is an election about the state of the economy and whether the president is partially or enough to...
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there is pressure on biden to deliver after president obama's poor performance last week. also, this is a campaign where president obama is running as much against paul ryan's ideas as he is against mitt romney. that elevates ryan as well. >> it seems clear in choosing chris van holland they will go against the first ryan budget, the first medicare plan and also the ryan book. they will go after the budget cuts and troo to tag mitt romney with the severity, using the term relatively, of the ryan budget cuts. >> right. rom uh any down played the ryan road map. keep in mind the first ryan budget plan included privatizing social security, at least to a certain extent. that's something ryan then dropped in his subsequent budgets. it was there and he was one of the advocates of the plan to put it in the market. secondly the medicare issue. those entitlements, we'll ha from biden about thursday. a lot of democrats think he dropped the ball not pushing the issues against mitt romney. joe biden will read ryan's book and go after those entitlements. >> up next, as mitt romney focus
there is pressure on biden to deliver after president obama's poor performance last week. also, this is a campaign where president obama is running as much against paul ryan's ideas as he is against mitt romney. that elevates ryan as well. >> it seems clear in choosing chris van holland they will go against the first ryan budget, the first medicare plan and also the ryan book. they will go after the budget cuts and troo to tag mitt romney with the severity, using the term relatively, of...
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. >>> many people thought this week president obama wouldvy strong debate performance that would be erased by a weak jobs number, but it's the opposite. the jobs report is in easing concern about obama's weak debate. nate silver said first day in while obama is is happy for everyone to talk about the economy because the numbers are better than expected with the unemployment rate dropping to 7.8%, a four-year low. exactly where it was when president obama took office. there was only a net gain of 114,000 jobs created last month. too low for sustained unemployment reduction. so something for both sides to like. the president has to be thrilled about this jobs numbers, though. it's a game changer unless it's not. the president is the out on the trail pushing it. >> as a nation we are moving forward again. we're moving forward. more people are getting jobs. now, every month reminds us that we've still got too many of our friends and neighbors looking for work. today's news certainly is not an excuse to talk down the economy to score a few political points. it's a reminder that this country has
. >>> many people thought this week president obama wouldvy strong debate performance that would be erased by a weak jobs number, but it's the opposite. the jobs report is in easing concern about obama's weak debate. nate silver said first day in while obama is is happy for everyone to talk about the economy because the numbers are better than expected with the unemployment rate dropping to 7.8%, a four-year low. exactly where it was when president obama took office. there was only a...
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it's a big week for candidates in this country. president barack obama is hoping to build momentum from that lower unemployment rate to hold a fundraiser in los angeles today, then eahe's heading to ohio. mitt romney is rallying in florida. he's giving a major foreign policy speech tomorrow. >>> we're following a shooting on the campus of the university of south alabama. a student reportedly naked and acting erratically is dad
it's a big week for candidates in this country. president barack obama is hoping to build momentum from that lower unemployment rate to hold a fundraiser in los angeles today, then eahe's heading to ohio. mitt romney is rallying in florida. he's giving a major foreign policy speech tomorrow. >>> we're following a shooting on the campus of the university of south alabama. a student reportedly naked and acting erratically is dad
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people said he had contempt for mitt romney. >> oh, please. >> hold on. >> juan, remember that, a few weeks ago when his spokes people, i think you were on the show, somebody on background said that obama has contempt for mitt romney? >> yes, thank you, dana. >> and i actually don't think that's necessarily true. >> i think what you said earlier, maybe, and axelrod said this to me last night, you know what? we didn't want to get in the mud with him. you know what -- >> oh, please. he had people said romney was a murderer. he didn't want to get in the mud? >> you know people around the table, keep in mind, just in the 04 cycle, remember, bush didn't win the first debate against kerry. bush won the election. >> that's why we're going to pay attention. >> i had one and i forgot what it was. >> i'll leave with this, don't forget, expect in the next couple of days, chicago politics coming out, the release of something from the opposition research from chicago, from the campaign, expect something negative, pretty negative about mitt romney. probably -- >> he gave too much money to charity. >> com
people said he had contempt for mitt romney. >> oh, please. >> hold on. >> juan, remember that, a few weeks ago when his spokes people, i think you were on the show, somebody on background said that obama has contempt for mitt romney? >> yes, thank you, dana. >> and i actually don't think that's necessarily true. >> i think what you said earlier, maybe, and axelrod said this to me last night, you know what? we didn't want to get in the mud with him. you know...
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the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential debates. and there's probably two or three hundred million ads to be dumped on the public. things change in presidential campaigns quite actively in september and early october. it's now that you start looking at serious numbers. the carter/reagan race didn't change until the last few weeks. there's a close parallel between this and carter/reagan. >> let me ask you about new hampshire's poll. i'm sure you didn't miss it. 15-point deficit for mitt romney. i'm guessing you'll argue with some parts. >> i'm not going to argue with it at all. do you really bel
the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential...
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last week, the obama administration announced it favored canceling a 16-year-old $3.5 billion tomato trade deal with mexico. the deal encourages imports and has kept tomato prices low. but florida growers say they're so low they can't catch up. the numbers show mexican tomato sales have quadruple since 2000 while florida has seen its cut shrink dramatically. after a flurry of letters from lawmakers, the commerce department decided to repd the trade agreement be scrapped. mexico growers were stunned, upset they hadn't been granted a meeting until after the decision. why did the decision get rushed? presidential politic, the influence of those florida growers might have played just a small role. michael isakoff is nbc's national investigative correspondent. it's an election year and hearing about issues like this, oh, favoritism of this front for florida. favoritism on that front for ohio. it shouldn't come as a shock and yet, we see it play out every year. four years, excuse me. >> this is a fascinating look about how to use the levers of power of incumbency to help yourself in an ele
last week, the obama administration announced it favored canceling a 16-year-old $3.5 billion tomato trade deal with mexico. the deal encourages imports and has kept tomato prices low. but florida growers say they're so low they can't catch up. the numbers show mexican tomato sales have quadruple since 2000 while florida has seen its cut shrink dramatically. after a flurry of letters from lawmakers, the commerce department decided to repd the trade agreement be scrapped. mexico growers were...
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with less than five weeks before the general election, president obama and republican presidential nominee mitt romney squared off in their first presidential debate wednesday in denver, colorado. for 90 minutes, the candidates faced off over taxes, unemployment, economic regulations, social security, health care, education, partisan gridlock and other domestic issues. romney repeatedly attacked obama's record, often putting the president on the defensive. many supporters of obama have expressed surprise that he never mentioned several of romney's potential weak spots, including his record as the private equity firm bain capital. also his vast personal wealth and offshore investments, and his recent remark that 47% of americans are government dependents. some domestic issues went virtually unmentioned wednesday night, including immigration policy, global warming, gun control, incarceration rates, and poverty. some key voices were shut out the conversation, including those of third-party presidential candidates. as obama and romney were facing off at the university of denver wednesday night
with less than five weeks before the general election, president obama and republican presidential nominee mitt romney squared off in their first presidential debate wednesday in denver, colorado. for 90 minutes, the candidates faced off over taxes, unemployment, economic regulations, social security, health care, education, partisan gridlock and other domestic issues. romney repeatedly attacked obama's record, often putting the president on the defensive. many supporters of obama have...
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. >> years or months or it could be weeks. it is a different tlesh hold than what the obama administration has laid out when you look carefully at what the president said at the general assembly, the most recent remarks on iran's nuclear program, he said the united states will not allow iran to have a nuclear bomb. i am paraphrasing to a certain degree. the word capability was not there. you did hear it from the israeli prime minister and today you're hearing it once again from mitt romney. mitt romney has been vague. he has gone back and forth on the issue of capability and sometimes he says it and sometimes he doesn't. today he is very cat goral in saying in a romney administration iran would not be able to have that capability of building a nuclear bomb which is significantly different than the threshold laid out by the president. >> and let's talk about syria which has been somewhat of a thorn in the side of this current sitting american president, and mr. romney, governor romney's view of syria, there was something in the
. >> years or months or it could be weeks. it is a different tlesh hold than what the obama administration has laid out when you look carefully at what the president said at the general assembly, the most recent remarks on iran's nuclear program, he said the united states will not allow iran to have a nuclear bomb. i am paraphrasing to a certain degree. the word capability was not there. you did hear it from the israeli prime minister and today you're hearing it once again from mitt...
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that's a point of weakness for obama at this point. so the romney campaign will go after that. foreign policy will be a big issue with only a little over a month to go. >>shepard: thank you, great to see you. >> administration folks are trying to figure out how the deadly attacks in benghazi occurred. a suicide bombing in afghanistan pushes the american casualty count beyond a grim milestone. the latest from america's longest war is coming up on "studio b" next. want to try to crack it? yeah, that's the way to do it! now we need a little bit more... a little bit more vanilla? this is great! [ male announcer ] at humana, we believe there's never been a better time to share your passions... because the results... are you having fun doing this? yeah. that's a very nice cake! [ male announcer ] well, you can't beat them. [ giggles ] ohh! you got something huh? whoa... [ male announcer ] humana understands the value of spending time together that's a lot of work getting that one in! let's go see the birdies. [ male announcer ] one on one, sharing what you know. let's do it grandpa.
that's a point of weakness for obama at this point. so the romney campaign will go after that. foreign policy will be a big issue with only a little over a month to go. >>shepard: thank you, great to see you. >> administration folks are trying to figure out how the deadly attacks in benghazi occurred. a suicide bombing in afghanistan pushes the american casualty count beyond a grim milestone. the latest from america's longest war is coming up on "studio b" next. want to...
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. >>> less than 24 hours from now with the election just five weeks away, president obama, mitt romney are going to face off in their debate. an estimated 50 million people are expected to watch. both men have been prepping very heavily. they know the stakes. history has shown that presidential debates can shift a race. joining me now is alan schroeder, professor of the school of journalism in northeastern university in boston, author of "presidential debates, 50 years of high risk tv." also, patrick milsap, republican strategists who served as chief of staff in newt gingrich's presidential campaign. patrick, you say newt gingrich's famous pious baloney line was one of his strongest hits against mitt romney during the primary debates. i want to play that for our viewers who don't remember. take a look. >> can we drop a little bit of the pious baloney? the fact is you ran in '94 and lost. that's why you -- this idea that suddenly citizenship showed up in your mind, just level with the american people. you've been running for at least since the 1990s. >> i'm curious how much of those kin
. >>> less than 24 hours from now with the election just five weeks away, president obama, mitt romney are going to face off in their debate. an estimated 50 million people are expected to watch. both men have been prepping very heavily. they know the stakes. history has shown that presidential debates can shift a race. joining me now is alan schroeder, professor of the school of journalism in northeastern university in boston, author of "presidential debates, 50 years of high...
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. >> apparently after last week's debate, polls show obama trailing mitt romney by one point. yeah. one point or as is also known the thing that obama failed to make during last week's debate. >> a lot of people are saying the government is cook the books. >> look i got to say if you're cooking the books 7.8% unemployment is a [ bleep ] recipe. like the radish stew of jobless numbers. >> that was jon stewart in comedy central taking on those who questioned last week's drop in unemployment. the narrative of cooking the books. we heard it over and over. well that's going to wrap things up for me. thanks for your time. see you back here tomorrow at 11:00 a.m. eastern. joining me sean spicer, ron fournier, the journal editor in teach and jimmy williams and hogan gibbly. "now" with alex wagner is coming your way next. hi, alex. >> hey, thomas. radish stew. i'm kidding. something more than radish stew with 28 days to go team romney is etch a sketching the etch a sketch as the romney fortifies the wall of obfuscation. we will examine his latest recalibration. the obama camp gives it the bi
. >> apparently after last week's debate, polls show obama trailing mitt romney by one point. yeah. one point or as is also known the thing that obama failed to make during last week's debate. >> a lot of people are saying the government is cook the books. >> look i got to say if you're cooking the books 7.8% unemployment is a [ bleep ] recipe. like the radish stew of jobless numbers. >> that was jon stewart in comedy central taking on those who questioned last week's...
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you got to wonder where obama finds the staffers. i haven't seen this many clowns since ringling brothers had a job fair. who was the source who said the video caused all of this? video no one heard of until after the attacks. it's not a question. it's a scandal. it points to intellectual corruption of the highest order. deep desire to blame america for evil in the world while excusing the real perpetrators. breaking the paperclip i'm so angry. it's a question that changes an election. we can't remember how the media enabled this. i remember one guy getting it right. >> freedom of speech is only valuable if you exercise. it you abdicate it with election prejudices. you sold yourself cheap. setting a horrible precedent. you're december industr destroyr profession. >> greg: i should have changed the shirt. i'm wearing the same thing. he is gorgeous, nonetheless. others have picked up the ball. >> we have a first amendment not because the founding fathers loved the press. they hated the press. but they said to have a free country and be
you got to wonder where obama finds the staffers. i haven't seen this many clowns since ringling brothers had a job fair. who was the source who said the video caused all of this? video no one heard of until after the attacks. it's not a question. it's a scandal. it points to intellectual corruption of the highest order. deep desire to blame america for evil in the world while excusing the real perpetrators. breaking the paperclip i'm so angry. it's a question that changes an election. we can't...
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what he needs to do is kind of what obama did in 2008. when you look at when things started to move for obama, it was during the debates. specifically he made the case then right or wrong that he was a better steward of the economy than john mccain in troubled times. romney's got to make that case in 2012. >> little different when you're running against an incumbent. right? there's not a direct parallel there. >> look at the transcript. he was running against president bush. that these set of economic policies are wrong and i have a compelling vision. whether he can do that is another story. >> your colleague e.j. deion wrote journalists are in search of defining moments and game changers. by this standard, romney needs to game changer. obama can live quite happily without one. so do you think that mitt romney needs to have a big moment or if he is perceived to have won will at least give republicans some momentum. is that really the most reasonable thing to hope for? >> well, certainly it will. if the race were sort of fixed in time righ
what he needs to do is kind of what obama did in 2008. when you look at when things started to move for obama, it was during the debates. specifically he made the case then right or wrong that he was a better steward of the economy than john mccain in troubled times. romney's got to make that case in 2012. >> little different when you're running against an incumbent. right? there's not a direct parallel there. >> look at the transcript. he was running against president bush. that...
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couple weeks on libya you will see governor romney try to go after president obama on competence, on foreign policy but also on the broader issue of competence and leadership. >> and that brings you to the fourth point which is president obama ready for prime time? he's been president for four years. >> right. >> and he is well known for being able to give the great speech. >> right. >> is he ready for this combat? >> that's right. i mean, governor romney, the 20th in the course of the primary, this is a different level. president obama has nodd not ha one for some time. i think president obama has to be careful month to not come off as too harsh. hillary, you're likable enough, when the president can come off a little bit cold. so i think he's going to have to be careful on that. >> and finally, as we go, who brings up bill clinton first? will we see he's campaigning in new hampshire today so he's being deployed. >> i have no doubt that president obama will be happy to invoke bill clinton's support here. and i wouldn't be surprised if romney mentioned him either in terms of trying t
couple weeks on libya you will see governor romney try to go after president obama on competence, on foreign policy but also on the broader issue of competence and leadership. >> and that brings you to the fourth point which is president obama ready for prime time? he's been president for four years. >> right. >> and he is well known for being able to give the great speech. >> right. >> is he ready for this combat? >> that's right. i mean, governor romney,...
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talked about this week as well in the u.n. speech where he was a little more forthright than he has been in the past in calling on nations to -- and leaders of nations to deal with extremism in their midst. >> thank you for being with us. >> thank you. >> in the u.s. there's an ongoing debate over the limits of free speech highlighted by two recent events. a federal judge in new orleans temporarily blocked a city ordinance that outlaws preaches on bourbon street after dark. it the law bars people from disseminated social religious or political messages on the street between sunset and sunrise. the american civil liberties union filed suit on behalf of a preacher after members of her ministry were arrested. in new york city a prominent egyptian american blogger was arrested after painting over a controversial subway ad that equates jihad with savagery. the hotly debated ad now in several subway stations urges people to defeat jihad and support israel against, quote, the savage. several muslim and interfaith groups have proteste
talked about this week as well in the u.n. speech where he was a little more forthright than he has been in the past in calling on nations to -- and leaders of nations to deal with extremism in their midst. >> thank you for being with us. >> thank you. >> in the u.s. there's an ongoing debate over the limits of free speech highlighted by two recent events. a federal judge in new orleans temporarily blocked a city ordinance that outlaws preaches on bourbon street after dark. it...
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Oct 3, 2012
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two weeks before obama's speech. adding to that, senator obama voted against the bill that included the provision for new orleans. part of the bill that increased iraq war funding. democrats say it's ancient history five years ago. political analysts expect more tape from both sides on 33 days. positive day on wall street. the dow gained 12. s&p 500 finished ahead five. nasdaq was up 15. the struggling economy is blamed for another year of declining birthrate. cdc says there were fewer than 4 million in 2011 down 1% from the previous year. the lowest number since 1999. hispanic births were down 6%. 2% down for african-americans. followup on last night's story about the obama administration urging defense contractors not to issue legally required layoff notices despite impending cuts due to the budget impasse. known as the sequestration. mike emanuel has the update. >> by law they're required to issue layoff notices to employees they may need to cut if the half trillion in automatic cuts known as sequestration take ef
two weeks before obama's speech. adding to that, senator obama voted against the bill that included the provision for new orleans. part of the bill that increased iraq war funding. democrats say it's ancient history five years ago. political analysts expect more tape from both sides on 33 days. positive day on wall street. the dow gained 12. s&p 500 finished ahead five. nasdaq was up 15. the struggling economy is blamed for another year of declining birthrate. cdc says there were fewer than...
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Oct 2, 2012
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b obama has the lead. we still have a month to go. the next two weeks with three presidential, one vice presidential debates, we have a chance for mitt romney to set a different impression with the american people than he's been able to do so far. who knows what president obama will do and what events are happening in the world. but i'm not sure other than some tightening from a little surge that obama had which i think is receding a little bit, i'm not sure what nate is talking about. >> john, you wrote a column that talks about the debates and the impact of the debates traditionally. and made the case that traditionally it makes very little impact. >> there are many individual moments that make an impression. but to fundamentally change where a race is going is very rare and you need a combination of events. the example that i used in that piece, andrew, was 2000, al gore had a lead of about what president obama has now entering the debates against george w. bush. he had a reputation as a strong debater. his body language was off, h
b obama has the lead. we still have a month to go. the next two weeks with three presidential, one vice presidential debates, we have a chance for mitt romney to set a different impression with the american people than he's been able to do so far. who knows what president obama will do and what events are happening in the world. but i'm not sure other than some tightening from a little surge that obama had which i think is receding a little bit, i'm not sure what nate is talking about. >>...
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Oct 1, 2012
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or president obama for another four years. >> what, if it's over 150? >> i think if it's over 150, you're going to see him a whole lot for the week after that, talking about jobs and how he's creating jobs, yeah. >> um-hum. >> i know that doesn't make you happy. we can pile that on your unhappiness for the -- >> you're just saying either/or, you're not predicting what's going to happen with jobs, right? >> well i've seen as high as 130, as low as 100. i think it's a little too early to talk about it. i think it will be on the low side of that range, but that's why i think under 100 is bad and above 150 would be great. >> the bad numbers really haven't hurt him recently so i don't know if the good number -- i don't know at this point and what's the participation rate going to do? how are they going to play around with that this time, going under eight by the election? >> well, if participation continues to fall off, then yeah. >> right. >> unfortunately that's a pretty wonky, geeky conversation to have. >> doesn't matter if it's under eight, if he can cl
or president obama for another four years. >> what, if it's over 150? >> i think if it's over 150, you're going to see him a whole lot for the week after that, talking about jobs and how he's creating jobs, yeah. >> um-hum. >> i know that doesn't make you happy. we can pile that on your unhappiness for the -- >> you're just saying either/or, you're not predicting what's going to happen with jobs, right? >> well i've seen as high as 130, as low as 100. i think...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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it's the latest dose of reality for the obama camp in a race that is evolving with only weeks left until election day. joining me for our daily fix, chris cizilla, msnbc contributor and managing editor o of postpolitics.com and mark halperin for "time" and msnbc. joining us from chicago. chris cizilla, first of all to you, the new polls certainly have given a great burst of energy to mitt romney's campaign. >> no question. i would say and we said this when there was polling that had president obama up eight, nine, ten points nationally, let's see where it sorts out at the end of the week or beginning of next week. if you are mitt romney, this is -- the pew poll yesterday was huge news because a lot of what happens here at the end and we are 28 days away, is momentum based. for folks who haven't made their mind up yet you want to look like you're the guy with the momentum. coming off the debate and the pew poll you now can make the case that mitt romney is the guy who is kind of the energy and enthusiasm candidate. i think some polls will come out in places like ohio, virginia, north caro
it's the latest dose of reality for the obama camp in a race that is evolving with only weeks left until election day. joining me for our daily fix, chris cizilla, msnbc contributor and managing editor o of postpolitics.com and mark halperin for "time" and msnbc. joining us from chicago. chris cizilla, first of all to you, the new polls certainly have given a great burst of energy to mitt romney's campaign. >> no question. i would say and we said this when there was polling that...
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Oct 4, 2012
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if you look at the in trade probabilities of who's likely to be elected, president obama last week or so peaked at a 76% probability. this morning, it was down to 66% probability. romney moved up 10 percentage points. dan loeb on facebook had put last week out a note that you ought to buy the romney futures because they were so depressed. i don't know how the money works in that thing, but he made ten points on the upside. >> wonder what the capital gains treatment is on that. >> that's a good question. >> rick santelli, i haven't even talked about march you draghi. he had an impact on the markets early on today, didn't he? >> he definitely did. if i look at interest rate complex between the mario draghi influences, the euro rally. we saw interest rates on the safe harbors like ten-year notes move higher. the stocks really grasping in and getting close to triple digits has put the ten-year pretty much at the top of what has been an eight-trading day, 5 1/2 basis point closing range. the boon, which closed a bit ago, is in a 2 1/2 point basis range for seven trading days. it's somewhat
if you look at the in trade probabilities of who's likely to be elected, president obama last week or so peaked at a 76% probability. this morning, it was down to 66% probability. romney moved up 10 percentage points. dan loeb on facebook had put last week out a note that you ought to buy the romney futures because they were so depressed. i don't know how the money works in that thing, but he made ten points on the upside. >> wonder what the capital gains treatment is on that. >>...